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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpQuantDeLaFugazi
Record (consensus markets)35% (3642–6653, n=10295)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)65% (692–372, n=1064)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$7.9M$3.6M$108K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #558PM monthly #3PM monthly #23Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus70% (16 of 23 open)83% (25 of 30 open)71% (79 of 112 open)71% (10 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%58% of 1428 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)26% (won 21% of 369)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)23% (won 45% of 324)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 71% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)29% (won 92% of 407)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankFlaznorpQuantDeLaFugazi
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Jaguars $33KRavens $97K——
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.8K—Over $438—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3—Under $8—
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
SE Palmeiras $39K—SE Palmeiras $21K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $13K—
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
same side · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
Joao Lucas Da Silva $103—Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.1K—