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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpPondermint
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6493–6083, n=12576)67% (426–207, n=633)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$169K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #410
Sides with the consensus79% (23 of 29 open)68% (189 of 278 open)50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22MLB −2 pts, n=89
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%71% of 492 at avg 71¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 11% of 65)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)11% (won 36% of 53)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)12% (won 61% of 57)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)64% (won 90% of 317)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpPondermint
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $77K—Yes $2.4K
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
Timberwolves $120Timberwolves $51—