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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Pondermint | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4512–3287, n=7799) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6434–5955, n=12389) | 67% (421–204, n=625) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $9.4M | $3.3M | $174K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #382 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (14 of 20 open) | 71% (24 of 34 open) | 73% (130 of 179 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | MLB −2 pts, n=87 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 71% of 485 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 11% of 63) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 11% (won 35% of 52) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 12% (won 63% of 56) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 65% (won 90% of 314) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Pondermint |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $80K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $56 | No $88K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $74K | — | Yes $2.3K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $13K | — | Quentin Halys $861 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | Yes $2.6K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $1.0K | — | — |