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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | JudgeLance | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6475–6058, n=12533) | 67% (33–16, n=49) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | -$36K | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #500 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (28 of 37 open) | 71% (254 of 359 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (54 of 76 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NBA −16 pts, n=13 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 60% of 68 at avg 60¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 50% of 4) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 71% (won 54% of 48) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 22% (won 87% of 15) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | JudgeLance | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $148K | Thunder $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $367 | Pelicans $1.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $450 | Bucks $464 | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | — | No $337K |
| Raptors vs. Bucks same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $510K | Raptors $8.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Grizzlies $14K | Grizzlies $760 | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Jazz $422 | Jazz $234 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Timberwolves $167 | Timberwolves $369 | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $50 | Grizzlies $350 | — | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Raptors $122 | Raptors $154 | — | — |