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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ISMS2222 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 38% (22–36, n=58) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $142K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #799 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (17 of 30 open) | 68% (271 of 400 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 61% (232 of 379 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −15 pts, n=16 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 44% of 55 at avg 41¢, ROI +7% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 38% (won 33% of 21) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 24% (won 15% of 13) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 29% (won 63% of 16) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 9% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
67 on the same side, 60 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ISMS2222 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $26K | Pelicans $651 | — | Pelicans $125 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | Pelicans $747 | — | Pelicans $135 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $244 | Pacers $379 | — | Grizzlies $123 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $323 | Pelicans $71 | — | Pelicans $143 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $218K | Pacers $4.3K | — | — |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $25K | — | Over $3.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $370 | — | No $13K |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $60 | — | Central Michigan $12K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.1K | — | No $9.1K |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | — | No $8.0K |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7.9K | — | Over $247 |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $79 | — | No $6.0K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $83 | — | No $4.6K |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.1K | — | Over $92 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $8 | — | No $3.0K |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt opposite sides · consensus Max Wiskandt | — | Hiroki Sakagawa $1.2K | — | Max Wiskandt $1.7K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $301 | — | No $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.4K | — | Yes $103 |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.3K | — | No $63 |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.2K | — | Yes $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $274 | — | Under $1.7K |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon | — | Maxwell McKennon $849 | — | Mauricio Echazu $1.1K |
| Spread: Hawks (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Wizards $1.9K | — | Hawks $5 |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $880 | — | — | Bucks $765 |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $80 | — | No $1.6K |
| Spread: Wizards (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $1.6K | — | Wizards $5 |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $196 | — | No $1.4K |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.5K | — | No $4 |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $36 | — | No $1.5K |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $83 | — | No $1.4K |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | — | Over $23 |
| Will Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | Yes $3 |
| Spread: Wizards (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $1.1K | — | Wizards $9 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $965 | — | Over $100 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.0K | — | Over $12 |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $988 | — | Bulls $47 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $776 | — | Under $5 |
| Spread: Knicks (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $764 | — | Bulls $16 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $759 | — | Under $8 |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $372 | — | Under $394 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $644 | — | Over $46 |
| Spread: Sabres (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sabres | — | Senators $66 | — | Sabres $569 |
| Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $479 | — | Over $139 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $324 | — | Pacers $180 |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $429 | — | Over $6 |