← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | FakePolls | Flaznorp | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (581–722, n=1303) | 62% (240–148, n=388) | 52% (6565–6142, n=12707) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $199K | $3.7M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #197 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 69% (9 of 13 open) | 69% (179 of 261 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 87% of 281 at avg 66¢, ROI +17% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 48% of 27) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 13% (won 65% of 37) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 22% (won 89% of 63) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 55% (won 98% of 154) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | FakePolls | Flaznorp | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $37K | Yes $9.0K | — | — |