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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankENORMOUZFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)82% (97–22, n=119)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3K$3.3M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #988PM monthly #22PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)100% (1 of 1 open)67% (238 of 354 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Mentions −6 pts, n=11Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%78% of 85 at avg 68¢, ROI +3%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)19% (won 31% of 16)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)9% (won 38% of 8)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)18% (won 80% of 15)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)54% (won 100% of 46)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankENORMOUZFlaznorpjoseph00677
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $330K—Pacers $4.2K—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $29K—Pelicans $641—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $17K—Pelicans $836—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $8.6K—Bucks $1.6K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $343—Pacers $379—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $283—Pelicans $71—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $195K—Pistons $4.2K—
Hawks vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $2.8K—Hawks $6.1K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $944—Pistons $204—