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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDegenKingBetterferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)60% (89–60, n=149)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$118K-$9.5M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #237was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus88% (30 of 34 open)50% (1 of 2 open)56% (5 of 9 open)63% (100 of 159 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=33, ROI +17%
  • MLB +14 pts n=67, ROI +16%
Weakest topic———NFL −24 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%68% of 133 at avg 54¢, ROI +13%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 0% of 7)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)20% (won 67% of 27)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)71% (won 73% of 95)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)3% (won 100% of 4)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDegenKingBetterferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
——Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $146Yes $2.8K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $15K——Bills $77
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $12K
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $5.8KOver $88