PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGIIomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (501–606, n=1107)56% (100–79, n=179)63% (375–222, n=597)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)
Consensus PnL$12.1M$3.5M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #156PM monthly #16
Sides with the consensus73% (24 of 33 open)no open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)50% (21 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)9% (won 91% of 35)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 181)26% (won 93% of 29)55% (won 99% of 209)21% (won 85% of 2140)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 99% of 176)42% (won 96% of 47)34% (won 100% of 128)38% (won 94% of 3856)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 96% of 27)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 99% of 3242)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGIIomnibus-076daa
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Spirit
——MOUZ $33KSpirit $28K
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
——MOUZ $12KSpirit $227
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
——TYLOO $4.0KFURIA $103
Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
same side · consensus Envy
——Envy $11KEnvy $9