← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BikesAreTheBikes | e46m3 | Hauchn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 17% (156–789, n=945) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | — | $536K | $117K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #143 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 73% (322 of 440 open) | 50% (7 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −6 pts, n=17 | Finance −1 pts, n=121 |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1436 at avg 34¢, ROI +9% | 62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30% | 10% of 122 at avg 11¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 58% (won 18% of 831) | 38% (won 18% of 2197) | 89% (won 2% of 108) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 64% of 167) | 7% (won 53% of 397) | 6% (won 43% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 86% of 157) | 9% (won 71% of 531) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 97% of 281) | 46% (won 97% of 2679) | 5% (won 100% of 6) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.