← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bignum | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (9–18, n=27) | 55% (58–47, n=105) | 71% (2825–1180, n=4005) | 88% (15–2, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.6K | $381K | $529K | $475K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #57 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 58% (153 of 266 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=204 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15% | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 50% of 6) | 0% | 40% (won 6% of 531) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 67% of 6) | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 24% (won 38% of 315) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 11% (won 61% of 150) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 94% of 320) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bignum | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $221K | Falcons $165 | Chiefs $6.3K |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $115K | Vikings $303 | Vikings $6.5K |
| Patriots vs. Lions same side · consensus Lions | — | Lions $727K | — | Lions $17K |
| Panthers vs. Saints same side · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $1.8K | Panthers $3.3K | — |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys same side · consensus 49ers | — | — | Cowboys $15 | Cowboys $275 |