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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (417–411, n=828) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $100K | $9.4M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #643 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (15 of 24 open) | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 61% (132 of 217 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | MLB −18 pts, n=23 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 832 at avg 49¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 140) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 38% of 335) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 59% of 201) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 87% of 156) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7.9K | No $258K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $31K | Pelicans $126 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $19K | Pelicans $121 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $981 | — | Central Michigan $18 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $346 | Grizzlies $118 |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $66 | Hawks $128 |