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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (427–419, n=846) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 50% (1103–1116, n=2219) | 47% (13828–15322, n=29150) |
| Consensus PnL | $90K | $9.4M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #634 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (12 of 22 open) | 54% (15 of 28 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (42 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | MLB −18 pts, n=23 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 832 at avg 49¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 140) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 38% of 335) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 59% of 201) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 87% of 156) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $8.2K | No $170K | — | — |