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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlegrandebigBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)93% (1486–115, n=1601)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL-$8.1K$7.3M$3.7M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #843PM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus94% (31 of 33 open)88% (22 of 25 open)69% (246 of 356 open)71% (58 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicFinance −2 pts, n=112—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won94% of 1369 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 12% of 33)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 46% of 41)35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 62% of 50)35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up91% (won 99% of 1245)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlegrandebigBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409K—No $337K
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $5——No $42K
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $781——No $29K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $595Under $6.6K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
——Hull City AFC $2.5KHull City AFC $2.9K
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $495——Yes $525