Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
95deBreakTheBankFlaznorpThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)58% (7–5, n=12)57% (28–21, n=49)74% (1443–503, n=1946)40% (4–6, n=10)
Consensus PnL-$469$758K$298K$365K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993PM monthly #2PM monthly #45was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (12 of 24 open)61% (169 of 277 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=22, ROI +45%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——College Basketball −3 pts, n=123—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 31 at avg 52¢, ROI +46%48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%80% of 5 at avg 39¢, ROI +62%
Entries under 30¢—0%32% (won 5% of 159)20% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—48% (won 100% of 15)24% (won 43% of 119)60% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—45% (won 100% of 14)14% (won 61% of 70)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 2)29% (won 95% of 142)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market95deBreakTheBankFlaznorpThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $134K76ers $860—
Raptors vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $126K76ers $1.6K—
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $23076ers $2.9K—
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $31KRaptors $469—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $30KRaptors $1.0K—
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $111Raptors $1.2K—