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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 739633786 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 89% (305–39, n=344) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$120K | $9.4M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #937 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 29% (2 of 7 open) | 60% (15 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (178 of 285 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 373 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 53% (won 97% of 196) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 98% of 175) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 739633786 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $64K | — | Yes $29K |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $56K | — | No $148 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.2K | — | Yes $111 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pistons $1.2K | — | — | 76ers $240 |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $651K | — | No $6.5K |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $1.2K | — | — | Under $43 |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $1.0K | — | — | Bucks $144 |