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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026lastminwinndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6670, n=10319)54% (13–11, n=24)63% (990–573, n=1563)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$261K$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #870PM monthly #96PM monthly #105PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (20 of 31 open)68% (39 of 57 open)74% (81 of 110 open)57% (93 of 162 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—69% of 13 at avg 44¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—38% (won 20% of 5)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—23% (won 100% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026lastminwinndb1RN1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20KYes $993K—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.7K——Over $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K——Over $1.5K
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.0K——Over $2
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.3K——Under $81
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $324——Under $592
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
same side · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Dalibor Svrcina $19K——Dalibor Svrcina $1.8K
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
Ferencvárosi TC $9.6K——Ferencvárosi TC $3.0K
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
same side · consensus AC Sparta Praha
AC Sparta Praha $8.2K——AC Sparta Praha $726
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg $2.4K——Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
same side · consensus Carole Monnet
Carole Monnet $4.8K——Carole Monnet $1.7K
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
Renata Zarazua $5.4K——Renata Zarazua $482
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K——Over $360
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $760——Under $14
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $710——Under $18