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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpkinderSmanndb1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3637–6661, n=10298)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)99% (423–6, n=429)65% (902–484, n=1386)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.3M$161K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #732PM monthly #24PM monthly #812PM monthly #102
Sides with the consensus79% (15 of 19 open)73% (154 of 210 open)100% (9 of 9 open)71% (107 of 151 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Tech −2 pts, n=28NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 410 at avg 98¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)0%13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)1% (won 100% of 4)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)0%24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)99% (won 100% of 406)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpkinderSmanndb1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $154Yes $2.6K——
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $491Olympique de Marseille $475——
Taranto: Jay Clarke vs Gianluca Cadenasso
opposite sides · consensus Jay Clarke
Gianluca Cadenasso $38Jay Clarke $5——
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $16KAnna Blinkova $2.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6KUnder $14K——
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Moyuka Uchijima
Magda Linette $2.6KMagda Linette $6——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $654Sorana Cirstea $275——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $708Alexandra Eala $96——
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Buvaysar Gadamauri
same side · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
Buvaysar Gadamauri $142Buvaysar Gadamauri $164——
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $82Lumbini Lions $55——
ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s
same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s
Afghanistan Under-19s $99Afghanistan Under-19s $3——