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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankmorito181RN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3637–6661, n=10298)45% (573–710, n=1283)70% (705–302, n=1007)47% (13886–15398, n=29284)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$9.4M$1.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #732PM monthly #3PM monthly #109 + pinnedPM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus85% (17 of 20 open)68% (23 of 34 open)81% (148 of 183 open)54% (14 of 26 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——Mentions −13 pts, n=20—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)22% (won 6% of 202)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)5% (won 43% of 49)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)6% (won 53% of 55)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)67% (won 96% of 612)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankmorito181RN1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $88KYes $22K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $78KNo $190—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Over $1.5K
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $16K——Anna Blinkova $33K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360