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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankNM-P
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6671, n=10320)45% (573–710, n=1283)83% (5378–1108, n=6486)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$7.9M$47K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #870PM monthly #3PM monthly #527
Sides with the consensus69% (22 of 32 open)82% (23 of 28 open)71% (90 of 127 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)6% (won 100% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)21% (won 100% of 859)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)22% (won 100% of 884)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)51% (won 100% of 2087)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankNM-P
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K—Over $176
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
James Madison $8.4K—Southern Miss $195
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.0K—Over $191
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $240—Under $719
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $130—Over $143