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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfFFF6537BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (74–96, n=170)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6403–5995, n=12398)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)
Consensus PnL$54K$7.3M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #765PM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)74% (207 of 278 open)58% (67 of 115 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +8 pts n=16, ROI −5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCrypto −5 pts, n=117—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won40% of 185 at avg 43¢, ROI −6%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 12% of 65)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 27% of 59)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 67% of 33)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up15% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

49 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfFFF6537BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $10KOver $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs. Palermo FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.7KUnder $19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.7KNo $877
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KOver $43
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.0KOver $28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $471No $529
Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $849Under $1
Will FC Metz win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $661Yes $163
US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $48Over $727
Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $211No $436
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $419No $210
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta
——Facundo Acosta $558Marco Cecchinato $9
Will FC Annecy win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $353Yes $5
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $56Over $82
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $31No $12
Will Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $11No $15
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $16KYes $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $7.0KOver $7.8K
Will CA Unión win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.2KNo $9.4K
Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $11KOver $1.8K
Exact Score: Everton FC 2 - 0 Coventry City FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $9.6KNo $1.4K
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Everton FC
——Everton FC $7.2KEverton FC $2.2K
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.9KNo $1.7K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.3KUnder $161
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Coventry City FC
——Everton FC $6.9KEverton FC $22
Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.4KNo $2.0K
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.4KNo $2.5K
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.9KNo $3.0K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
——Julia Riera $3.2KJulia Riera $1.3K
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $157No $3.4K
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.4KNo $5
Hammarby IF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $542Over $2.4K
Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $928Over $1.6K
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.9KUnder $2
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.5KNo $219
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $127Over $1.5K
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.1KYes $419
Exact Score: Hammarby IF 0 - 1 IF Elfsborg?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.3KNo $124
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.4KNo $3
US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.3KOver $57
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $104Under $1.1K