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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xecb1d3b9d240a8347415108882cb8fa1f7e2f1c4Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)64% (25–14, n=39)52% (6608–6142, n=12750)63% (992–576, n=1568)47% (14228–15728, n=29956)
Consensus PnL$1.5K$3.6M$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #876PM monthly #10PM monthly #92PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (11 of 19 open)75% (85 of 113 open)70% (52 of 74 open)45% (10 of 22 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicElections −3 pts, n=20Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won57% of 30 at avg 58¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 0% of 9)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 0% of 3)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 50% of 2)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up53% (won 100% of 16)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xecb1d3b9d240a8347415108882cb8fa1f7e2f1c4Flaznorpndb1RN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $17K—Zeynep Sonmez $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $282—Ipek Oz $680
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $6.9K—Yosuke Watanuki $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42