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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xb7de57721ee931290e90bc0c8a9f38855130b802 | BreakTheBank | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (208–175, n=383) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | $822K | $430K | $232K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #744 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 94% (17 of 18 open) | 47% (8 of 17 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 73% (144 of 198 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xb7de57721ee931290e90bc0c8a9f38855130b802 | BreakTheBank | googleplay | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Nets $193K | — | Pelicans $7.5K |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | — | Bulls $64K | Spurs $7.7K |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $22K | Under $43K |
| Celtics vs. Raptors opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $104 | Raptors $45K | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $25K | — | Nuggets $15K |
| Wizards vs. Pacers opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $2.4K | — | Wizards $21K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $4 | — | Nuggets $37 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $218K | — | Spurs $12K |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $14K | — | Pacers $7.8K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $514 | — | Nets $3.4K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $643 | — | Grizzlies $1.7K |