Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xb7de57721ee931290e90bc0c8a9f38855130b802BreakTheBankHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market56% (20–16, n=36)54% (208–175, n=383)
Consensus PnL$0$822K$232K
Tracked asPM monthly #744PM monthly #1PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus89% (16 of 18 open)53% (9 of 17 open)74% (147 of 198 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢—0%1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—57% (won 100% of 13)32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢—39% (won 100% of 9)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xb7de57721ee931290e90bc0c8a9f38855130b802BreakTheBankHomeRunHazard
Nets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Nets $148KPelicans $7.5K
Celtics vs. Raptors
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Celtics $104Raptors $55K—
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $25KNuggets $14K
Wizards vs. Pacers
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $2.4KWizards $21K
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $4Nuggets $37
Spurs vs. Bulls
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $218KSpurs $12K
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $14KPacers $7.8K
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $514Nets $3.4K
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Grizzlies $643Grizzlies $1.7K