Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xac8db3b4afea21b73ffdc92fjkBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)71% (206–83, n=289)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)
Consensus PnL-$106K$7.3M$3.6M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #969PM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)76% (179 of 237 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won70% of 270 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 18% of 40)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 48% of 42)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 77% of 47)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up52% (won 90% of 141)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.