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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592fantasy7788HomeRunHazardsuntori
Record (consensus markets)60% (61–40, n=101)54% (7–6, n=13)54% (304–264, n=568)59% (555–391, n=946)
Consensus PnL$172K$469K$309K-$37K
Tracked asPM monthly #62PM monthly #35PM monthly #7was PM monthly #792
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)77% (51 of 66 open)42% (98 of 233 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +11 pts n=12, ROI +25%
Weakest topic———Crypto −6 pts, n=411
Settled positions, side won100% of 59 at avg 61¢, ROI +41%100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%41% of 953 at avg 44¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 7% of 308)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 6)20% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 31)24% (won 30% of 225)
Entries 50–70¢63% (won 100% of 37)60% (won 100% of 3)57% (won 100% of 55)24% (won 57% of 231)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 14)0%10% (won 100% of 10)20% (won 90% of 189)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592fantasy7788HomeRunHazardsuntori
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $67Mavericks $11
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
same side · consensus MOUZ
—MOUZ $38K—MOUZ $9.7K
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.3KUnder $54
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
same side · consensus FUT Esports
—MOUZ $6.2K—MOUZ $22
Memphis vs. South Florida: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $2.5KOver $50
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $1.2KPistons $303
Spread: Wyoming (-10.5)
same side · consensus UTEP
——UTEP $980UTEP $53
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $31376ers $3