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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50ABreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)49% (33–35, n=68)41% (589–853, n=1442)63% (1096–631, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$720K$7.7M$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #855PM monthly #1PM monthly #113
Sides with the consensus86% (188 of 218 open)83% (29 of 35 open)72% (73 of 101 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won21% of 125 at avg 7¢, ROI +17%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢89% (won 11% of 111)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 100% of 14)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50ABreakTheBankndb1
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4No $12K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $421KNo $346K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $12K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16Yes $15K—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22Yes $4.5K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2Yes $413—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $14Yes $28—