Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50ABreakTheBankndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (291–13, n=304)52% (102–94, n=196)50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL$4.1K$8.4M$2.7M-$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #601PM monthly #1PM monthly #111PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (199 of 239 open)82% (32 of 39 open)74% (66 of 89 open)45% (40 of 88 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%——
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)——
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)——
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)——
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50ABreakTheBankndb1RN1
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5No $28K——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $425KNo $350K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $12K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16Yes $19K——
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22Yes $4.6K——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2Yes $484——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $15Yes $29——