Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd49BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)91% (89–9, n=98)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)
Consensus PnL$180K$7.6M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #634PM monthly #2PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus100% (6 of 6 open)88% (35 of 40 open)69% (114 of 165 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won94% of 97 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 33% of 6)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 100% of 2)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up90% (won 98% of 87)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd49BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $651KNo $45K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $110KColts $91