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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (448–384, n=832)48% (503–539, n=1042)
Consensus PnL—$332K$462K
Tracked asPM monthly #987PM monthly #9PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (91 of 134 open)59% (20 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 68)36% (won 100% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 127)50% (won 100% of 166)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Kraken $41Hurricanes $34K
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KOver $3.4K
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Florida $19Kentucky $1.2K
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
same side · consensus Red Wings
—Lightning $783Lightning $10K
Spread: James Madison (-5.5)
same side · consensus UConn
—UConn $2.5KUConn $622
Texas vs. LSU
same side · consensus LSU
—LSU $205LSU $1.8K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $156Pistons $1.4K
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
same side · consensus Miami (FL)
—Miami (FL) $48Miami (FL) $145