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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aE | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (125–127, n=252) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $61K | $7.7M | $3.3M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #951 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #25 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (7 of 7 open) | 88% (30 of 34 open) | no open consensus position | 51% (38 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 240 at avg 39¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 48% (won 11% of 116) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 54% of 26) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 83% of 40) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 98% of 58) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aE | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | No $29K | — | — |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | Chargers $2.4K | — | Texans $7.1K |