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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aE | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (91–94, n=185) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 47% (13886–15398, n=29284) |
| Consensus PnL | $43K | $9.4M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #943 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 68% (23 of 34 open) | 57% (16 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 180 at avg 42¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 44% (won 10% of 79) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 55% of 22) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 80% of 35) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 98% of 44) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aE | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $24K | No $88K | — |