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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–665, n=1225)52% (5357–4920, n=10277)65% (886–468, n=1354)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$638K$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #53PM monthly #143
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)63% (86 of 137 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——Golf −2 pts, n=108NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 19% of 1341)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)35% (won 46% of 3607)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)35% (won 61% of 3523)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)17% (won 86% of 1699)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSndb1
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28No $18K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KNo $15K—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.2KNo $4.8K—
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $626Yes $420
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $65Yes $529
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $1Yes $160
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $1Yes $121
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $765KNo $14K—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $290Yes $63K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $22KYes $2.0K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $811—
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
——No $345No $3.1K
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.3KNo $6
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KYes $376—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $80Yes $1.6K—
Will Tampa Bay Lightning be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $700Yes $3
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1Yes $454
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $164Yes $42—
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
——No $26No $5