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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorpiammillionaireZzzz87
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)71% (2093–854, n=2947)no settled market68% (86–41, n=127)
Consensus PnL$856K$387K—$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #13PM monthly #714was PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (169 of 322 open)no open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 362)—1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 43% of 192)—15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 64% of 103)—37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up0%27% (won 95% of 239)—46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorpiammillionaireZzzz87
Norway vs. Wales: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $957—Over $15K
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—No $1.2K
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $196—Over $248
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
same side · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $1.5K—Portugal $329
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus 1win
—1win $4—1win $153