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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorphortikkkVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)71% (2821–1175, n=3996)67% (6–3, n=9)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$841K$528K$526$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #8PM monthly #883PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (90 of 189 open)44% (4 of 9 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=204——
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 531)—13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 100% of 6)24% (won 38% of 315)—40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 61% of 150)—33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up0%24% (won 94% of 320)—13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorphortikkkVirIntrepidus
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $165—Chiefs $6.4K
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.3KYes $83—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $310—Vikings $5.9K
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $683Yes $44—
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $411Yes $26—
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $16—Cowboys $279