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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| reykreyk | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (13–9, n=22) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | $7.7M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #977 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 86% (37 of 43 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 45% (29 of 64 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 14 at avg 47¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 50% (won 100% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | reykreyk | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | Chargers $294K | — | Texans $8.5K |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $103K | — | 76ers $1.0K |
| 76ers vs. Bulls opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Bulls $7.0K | — | 76ers $1.1K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $423K | No $346K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $304K | Yes $12K | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | — | Packers $143K | — | Packers $489 |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | — | Packers $104K | — | Packers $4.0K |