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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmS-WorksSniper85
Record (consensus markets)54% (4827–4032, n=8859)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)75% (2542–853, n=3395)63% (5–3, n=8)
Consensus PnL$8.2M$3.6M$3.7M$27K
Tracked asPM monthly #15PM monthly #48PM monthly #73was PM monthly #931
Sides with the consensus48% (16 of 33 open)50% (5 of 10 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%100% of 5 at avg 62¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)0%
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)40% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)40% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmS-WorksSniper85
Raiders vs. 49ers
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
Raiders $22K49ers $61K——
Browns vs. Saints
same side · consensus Saints
Saints $241KSaints $12K——
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $15KColts $5.7K——