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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465lalalalalalallalalalalaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)no settled market50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$8.9M—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #177PM monthly #51PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensus52% (14 of 27 open)100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 1 open)62% (184 of 297 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 9 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)33% (won 100% of 3)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)67% (won 100% of 6)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)0%5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465lalalalalalallalalalalaprimmRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Alexander Zverev $12K——Lorenzo Musetti $53K
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Alex Michelsen $9.5K——Carlos Alcaraz $9.1K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.5K——No $659
Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Martin Damm $420——Tom Gentzsch $2.0K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $270K——No $6.5K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $87K——No $4.4K
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
same side · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
Thiago Agustin Tirante $14K——Thiago Agustin Tirante $23K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $16K——No $5.3K
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8K——No $6.9K
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
No $315——No $1.1K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248——Under $371
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194——Over $81