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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | l..messi | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4827–4032, n=8859) | 57% (1110–846, n=1956) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $84K | $4.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | was PM monthly #787 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #47 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (16 of 31 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 28% (won 12% of 436) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 10% (won 38% of 160) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 15% (won 75% of 225) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 47% (won 97% of 716) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | l..messi | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. 49ers opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Raiders $11K | — | — | 49ers $85K |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $6.7K | — | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) same side · consensus Chargers | Texans $23K | — | — | Texans $9.4K |