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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighmadmartigan5RN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)45% (198–245, n=443)no settled market66% (480–244, n=724)
Consensus PnL-$493K$10K$0-$148K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #47was PM monthly #988PM monthly #45 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)76% (16 of 21 open)40% (2 of 5 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%—100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)6% (won 100% of 8)—6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)38% (won 100% of 51)—13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)50% (won 100% of 68)—30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)7% (won 100% of 9)—51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighmadmartigan5RN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $3.7KTaylor Fritz $14K—Cameron Norrie $1.2K
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $55KJazz $5.9K——
Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Gaston
—Matteo Martineau $305—Hugo Gaston $2
Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Tatjana Maria
—Tatjana Maria $15K—Tatjana Maria $11K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $10K—Ugo Humbert $2.4K
Lima: Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala Gurri
same side · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
—Max Alcala Gurri $4.1K—Max Alcala Gurri $544
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Polona Hercog
—Polona Hercog $322—Polona Hercog $1.1K