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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighR2D2RSRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (64–71, n=135)45% (202–249, n=451)no settled market66% (480–245, n=725)
Consensus PnL-$420K$34K—-$155K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #45PM monthly #750PM monthly #47 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)61% (19 of 31 open)no open consensus position69% (9 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 1 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)6% (won 100% of 8)0%6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)38% (won 100% of 51)0%13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)50% (won 100% of 68)100% (won 100% of 1)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)7% (won 100% of 9)0%51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighR2D2RSRN1
Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Clement Chidekh
same side · consensus Clement Chidekh
Clement Chidekh $373Clement Chidekh $17K—Clement Chidekh $3.6K
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $54KJazz $5.9K——
Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Gaston
—Matteo Martineau $44K—Hugo Gaston $14K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Casper Ruud $11K—Alexander Shevchenko $870
Lima: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
—Filip Misolic $6.4K—Filip Misolic $7.8K
Sopo: Laura Samson vs Sofia Costoulas
same side · consensus Laura Samson
—Laura Samson $3.6K—Laura Samson $2.7K
Monastir: Moise Kouame vs Jonas Forejtek
same side · consensus Jonas Forejtek
—Jonas Forejtek $1.6K—Jonas Forejtek $252
W35 Weston, FL: Sachia Vickery vs Michaela Laki
same side · consensus Sachia Vickery
—Sachia Vickery $2—Sachia Vickery $942
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. East Texas A&M Lions
same side · consensus Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
—Fairleigh Dickinson Knights $38—Fairleigh Dickinson Knights $103
W35 Weston, FL: Sofia Rocchetti vs Anita Sahdiieva
same side · consensus Anita Sahdiieva
—Sofia Rocchetti $1—Sofia Rocchetti $20