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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | donube | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3322, n=7858) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 70% (712–304, n=1016) | 63% (992–576, n=1568) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $5.3M | $1.1M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #196 + pinned | PM monthly #96 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (11 of 19 open) | no open consensus position | 79% (130 of 164 open) | 69% (52 of 75 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 71% of 941 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 48% of 54) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 67% (won 96% of 628) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | donube | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $45 | — | Yes $21K | — |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | No $172K | — | No $67K | — |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $10 | No $53K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | — | No $199 | — |