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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677RN1strider-
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)88% (72–10, n=82)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$5.6M$14.8M$45K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #795
Sides with the consensus60% (12 of 20 open)no open consensus position66% (166 of 251 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——Geopolitics −1 pts, n=28
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 81 at avg 74¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)15% (won 25% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)7% (won 50% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)11% (won 78% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)67% (won 100% of 54)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677RN1strider-
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $5.4K—Carole Monnet $9.0K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Alex Michelsen $3.9K—Carlos Alcaraz $9.9K—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $357—Under $278—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $86K—No $4.3K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini $22K—Matteo Berrettini $14K—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $5.3K—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251—Under $379—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194—Over $81—