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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (36–38, n=74) | 40% (2–3, n=5) | 42% (113–156, n=269) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$388K | $391K | $256K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #30 | PM monthly #159 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (10 of 19 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $48K | — | Jazz $18K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic same side · consensus Arthur Rinderknech | Arthur Rinderknech $360 | — | Arthur Rinderknech $38K | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cretu same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas | Pavlos Tsitsipas $4 | — | Pavlos Tsitsipas $23K | — |