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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | gmpm2 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–39, n=76) | 50% (2–2, n=4) | 43% (121–161, n=282) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$387K | -$6.1K | $180K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #32 | PM monthly #159 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (20 of 30 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | NBA −2 pts, n=33 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 6% (won 32% of 19) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 29% (won 48% of 97) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 45% (won 55% of 150) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 21% (won 80% of 71) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | gmpm2 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $53K | — | Jazz $17K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $19K | — | Under $721 | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) same side · consensus Kent State | Kent State $192 | — | Kent State $1.2K | — |