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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465errormarginferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3295, n=7815)54% (199–170, n=369)35% (3647–6671, n=10318)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$46K$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #796PM monthly #510PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)no open consensus position60% (9 of 15 open)55% (16 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Esports +31 pts n=229, ROI +19%
  • MMA +26 pts n=27, ROI +18%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%93% of 256 at avg 63¢, ROI +19%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)4% (won 56% of 9)—10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)20% (won 87% of 52)—22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)47% (won 95% of 120)—36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)29% (won 99% of 75)—33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465errormarginferrariChampions2026RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.3KOver $1.5K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
opposite sides · consensus Sorana Cirstea
——Sorana Cirstea $650Mary Stoiana $611
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
——Remy Bertola $157Kilian Feldbausch $251
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
——Matej Dodig $81Tom Gentzsch $29
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
——Otto Virtanen $15KOtto Virtanen $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.2KOver $360