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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465dsoperativeRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)57% (254–193, n=447)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$34K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #54PM monthly #808PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)89% (25 of 28 open)57% (86 of 150 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Weather −2 pts, n=10—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%85% of 256 at avg 68¢, ROI +25%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)9% (won 36% of 22)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)11% (won 74% of 27)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)28% (won 85% of 72)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)53% (won 95% of 135)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465dsoperativeRN1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $128K—No $9.1K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $60K—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $8.6K—Casper Ruud $6.4K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.3K—Under $10
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $530—Over $501
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $218—Yes $11
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Kimmer Coppejans $81—Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $73
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $17—Panathinaikós AO $4
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200K—Yes $15K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93K—No $28K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44K—No $20K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $6.5K—Under $76
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $38—No $157