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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1UnderperformingForALiving
Record (consensus markets)57% (4513–3386, n=7899)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)41% (77–113, n=190)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$14.8M$318K
Tracked asPM monthly #83PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #141
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)62% (37 of 60 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +17 pts n=25, ROI −2%
  • NHL +12 pts n=18, ROI −1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%51% of 190 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 57% of 2538)19% (won 14% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)22% (won 94% of 5565)26% (won 44% of 50)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)36% (won 99% of 9017)29% (won 59% of 56)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)33% (won 100% of 8250)25% (won 77% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1UnderperformingForALiving
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $9.8KLakers $3—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $12KQuentin Halys $1.2K—