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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677RN1UnderperformingForALiving
Record (consensus markets)50% (36–36, n=72)no settled market68% (304–140, n=444)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$384K—-$54K$3.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #35PM monthly #7PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #41
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)no open consensus position67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21——Geopolitics −3 pts, n=44
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%52% of 108 at avg 53¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)8% (won 0% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 12% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)8% (won 0% of 1)26% (won 100% of 62)21% (won 43% of 23)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)69% (won 67% of 9)40% (won 100% of 95)19% (won 60% of 20)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)15% (won 100% of 2)33% (won 100% of 80)36% (won 79% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677RN1UnderperformingForALiving
Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Menelaos Efstathiou
opposite sides · consensus Felix Gill
Menelaos Efstathiou $2—Felix Gill $4.1K—