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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 85% (17–3, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $14.8M | -$11K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | was PM monthly #338 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (10 of 16 open) | 62% (96 of 156 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 15 at avg 59¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 27% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 47% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 27% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $270K | No $6.5K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $2.4K | Arthur Fils $11K | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | Under $371 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $194 | Over $81 | — |